Search found 279 matches

by Brain Traysers
16 Mar 2019 05:48
Forum: The Team
Topic: Stoke v Reading - - - Match 38 Prediction League
Replies: 39
Views: 1505

Re: Stoke v Reading - - - Match 38 Prediction League

Stoke 1-0 Reading HT
Stoke 1-0 Reading FT

Stoke to score first <<<<<

Stoke 29
by Brain Traysers
12 Mar 2019 20:45
Forum: The Team
Topic: MATCHWATCH : Leeds United (h) sponsored by Brian McDermott
Replies: 297
Views: 10707

Re: MATCHWATCH : Leeds United (h) sponsored by Brian McDermott

Snowflake Royal Ouch. Cracking finish.

Score not at all reflecting the game. Two shots on target two goals.


Sounds like we are unlucky to be 2-0 down / Leeds are lucky to be 2-0 up, no? :?
by Brain Traysers
12 Mar 2019 19:05
Forum: The Team
Topic: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster
Replies: 199
Views: 9783

Re: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster

NewCorkSeth
Platypuss If you intend to do it, it's not luck.

Uhm. Whut?


Don't go there - its not worth it :lol:
by Brain Traysers
12 Mar 2019 18:40
Forum: The Team
Topic: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster
Replies: 199
Views: 9783

Re: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster

Ha - ok points taken - I'll stick to my own thread
by Brain Traysers
12 Mar 2019 18:05
Forum: The Team
Topic: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster
Replies: 199
Views: 9783

Re: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster

If you make an analogy to golf, holing out from an approach shot is lucky but getting the ball to within 10 feet is down to skill. Having the skill to get the ball in the right place increases the likelihood of being lucky. I agree almost entirely, but would add one word - "getting the ball to...
by Brain Traysers
12 Mar 2019 17:59
Forum: The Team
Topic: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster
Replies: 199
Views: 9783

Re: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster

I think it is your definition of ‘luck’ that needs to be challenged to be honest..... Sure - go for it, I'm always open to rethink. I'm working with: Success or failure apparently brought by chance rather than through one's own actions. Taking a shot from long range is for me a chance - hence the e...
by Brain Traysers
12 Mar 2019 17:10
Forum: The Team
Topic: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster
Replies: 199
Views: 9783

Re: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster

And the Rotherham goal.? Baker nut-megging an opposition player whilst facing our own goal, then Martinez passing from directly under his own goal line with an opposition player breathing down his neck, 3 passes later it's in the back of the opponents net. The probability of that happening would be...
by Brain Traysers
12 Mar 2019 16:55
Forum: The Team
Topic: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster
Replies: 199
Views: 9783

Re: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster

And all of these shots were taken by players who all play in the same position and have the same technical and physical skills? I have no idea - but given how infrequently Barrow does this I'm happy to guess the median shot was taken by a technically better player who is rightly being rewarded for ...
by Brain Traysers
12 Mar 2019 16:25
Forum: The Team
Topic: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster
Replies: 199
Views: 9783

Re: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster

I think any goal where a player has executed his decision excellently is not luck. He decided to shoot and pulled it off perfectly, if he hadn't it wouldn't have gone in. It would have been lucky if say, it had brushed off a defenders toe deflecting the ball enough to take out of the keepers reach ...
by Brain Traysers
12 Mar 2019 16:19
Forum: The Team
Topic: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster
Replies: 199
Views: 9783

Re: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster

I think "luck" and "Likely outcome" are two different things here which have been melded into one. Whilst Barrow's shot yes, had an unlikely outcome - he did shoot from there and mean to do it, hence not a lucky goal, but an unlikely one. The overall chance of him scoring there ...
by Brain Traysers
12 Mar 2019 16:05
Forum: The Team
Topic: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster
Replies: 199
Views: 9783

Re: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster

certainly when I see this: 24th Feb 2019 - Rotherham (H) 1-1 draw despite 53% probability of a loss I do wonder how on earth they get their stats together. Rotherham had 2 shots on goal in the game, including their goal and about 1 other chance, or even 'situation'. Where as we had about 5 good cha...
by Brain Traysers
12 Mar 2019 00:23
Forum: The Team
Topic: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster
Replies: 199
Views: 9783

Re: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster

FYI. Unlikely and lucky are not the same thing. Just to be clear, are you asserting their was no luck in Barrows highly unlikely goal? If we aren't lucky, what are we? Really good at letting teams have great chances against us (otherwise Martinez wouldn't need to make heroic saves) and simultaneous...
by Brain Traysers
12 Mar 2019 00:21
Forum: The Team
Topic: Gomez tactics may still take us down
Replies: 40
Views: 2543

Re: Gomez tactics may still take us down

Yeah, the purpose is to draw the opposition onto you and play through them (see Rotherham at home). But when teams like Wigan come and don't press, it's absolutely vital there's a different plan. We've effectively scored from three set pieces on Saturday (freekick/freekick/corner), but other than s...
by Brain Traysers
12 Mar 2019 00:19
Forum: The Team
Topic: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster
Replies: 199
Views: 9783

Re: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster

Out of interest do people still refuse to believe that we are extremely lucky? How have we been lucky at all in the past 2 seasons? Off the pitch, certainly in terms of our injury record, we have been 'fairly' to 'very' unlucky imo. On the pitch? Incredibly lucky indeed. All figures are based on th...
by Brain Traysers
11 Mar 2019 23:33
Forum: The Team
Topic: Gomez tactics may still take us down
Replies: 40
Views: 2543

Re: Gomez tactics may still take us down

Yeah, the purpose is to draw the opposition onto you and play through them (see Rotherham at home). But when teams like Wigan come and don't press, it's absolutely vital there's a different plan. We've effectively scored from three set pieces on Saturday (freekick/freekick/corner), but other than s...
by Brain Traysers
11 Mar 2019 23:19
Forum: The Team
Topic: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster
Replies: 199
Views: 9783

Re: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster

Because yoi can only out perform goal expectancy stats by fluke apparently. :roll: Taking a step back, how on earth did we win that game? Either we were extremely lucky, or are secretly good enough to score on demand (2 in 10 mins) and choose not to. Barrows goal very good, but any goal from there ...
by Brain Traysers
11 Mar 2019 22:29
Forum: The Team
Topic: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster
Replies: 199
Views: 9783

Re: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster

Because yoi can only out perform goal expectancy stats by fluke apparently. :roll: Taking a step back, how on earth did we win that game? Either we were extremely lucky, or are secretly good enough to score on demand (2 in 10 mins) and choose not to. Barrows goal very good, but any goal from there ...
by Brain Traysers
11 Mar 2019 22:21
Forum: The Team
Topic: Run Ins - Relative Strengths
Replies: 30
Views: 1787

Re: Run Ins - Relative Strengths

I'm not convinced that league position is the right metric to look at - 4 teams have played a game less and the league is quite tight in places (e.g. only 2 points currently separate 9th from 14th). I think these issues are resolved by using the average points per game achieved by the different team...
by Brain Traysers
09 Mar 2019 17:34
Forum: The Team
Topic: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster
Replies: 199
Views: 9783

Re: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster

Out of interest do people still refuse to believe that we are extremely lucky? How have we been lucky at all in the past 2 seasons? Because yoi can only out perform goal expectancy stats by fluke apparently. :roll: Taking a step back, how on earth did we win that game? Either we were extremely luck...
by Brain Traysers
09 Mar 2019 17:11
Forum: The Team
Topic: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster
Replies: 199
Views: 9783

Re: MATCHWATCH : Wigan Athletic (h) sponsored by Nicky Forster

Out of interest do people still refuse to believe that we are extremely lucky?
It is currently 23 Mar 2019 23:32