Snowball wrote:Berry wrote:So did Sunderland and look way they are....If you really think changing the manager now will stop us getting relegated your delusional..We will need at least 10 points from 24...Even Pep couldnt get the squad to do that in what will be roughly 6 weeks
I think we are going down, but to say we need ten points is BONKERS
We need to match the points of the four sides below us, and we have 3 points as a buffer.
20 38 -13 36 Reading
21 38 -19 33 Barnsley
22 38 -29 33 Birmingham
23 38 -40 30 Burton
24 38 -30 28 Sunderland
None of the teams below us have managed an average of 1 point per game
but even if they do for the last 8 games (and TWO of them need to do that)
we would then probably only need 5 points, unless we get some severe hammering
and lose our "extra point" of goal-difference
Sunderland have to match us AND pick up 8/9 extra points
Burton have to match us and pick up an extra 6/7 points.
Barnsley and Birmingham have to match us plus 3 points, probably four.
Also of interest is that our rivals will be playing each other. So, say for example, Birmingham find some decent form after their 3-0 win, well they are playing Burton and Bolton.
Six pointers are
Barnsley v Bolton
Birmingham v Burton
Birmingham v Bolton
Burton v Hull
Burton v Bolton
Burton v Hull
and of course
Reading v Sunderland
Doing my guesswork, I reckon we could be safe with one win and one draw. Key is beating Sunderland, which surely even WE can do? As for the draw, well Ipswich at home looks the best bet, penultimate game of the season with them with absolutely nothing to play for. It means Barnsley can draw 7 of their final 8 and we stay up on GD - assuming we aren't thrashed in our remaining 6 defeats. Sadly we are shipping well over 2 goals a game from our last 9, so that might not work in our favour!