How Many Points To Stay Up?

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Snowflake Royal
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Re: How Many Points To Stay Up?

by Snowflake Royal » 20 Mar 2018 22:14

Snowball wrote:
Snowflake Royal wrote:
Royal_jimmy wrote:I look at Barnsleys fixtures and think they could definitely get 13-14 points from that lot. We need Norwich to get something there tonight.

Would mean if Bolton were to get 9 points from their remaining games and Birmingham got 15 from their remaining 9 then we will need 10 more points to guarantee safety. Hopefully we won't get thrashed tonight so our GD is good.

Barnsley v Norwich
Barnsley v Millwall
Barnsley v Bristol City
Nottingham Forest v Barnsley
Barnsley v Sheffield United
Ipswich Town v Barnsley
Barnsley v Bolton Wanderers
Leeds United v Barnsley
Barnsley v Brentford
Derby County v Barnsley

BIrmingham will be lucky to get 5 let alone 15


So you think Birmingham will be lucky to get 2 points from their last 8 games?

I wouldn't be thinking we're going to suddenly turn everything around and go on a run just because we won one game, so why would I think much different for them?

Yeah, the hyperbolic 5 looks pretty achievable right now. I'll hold on for a bit more than one result before I start revising my outlook to them completely changing things up though if you don't mind.

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John Smith
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Re: How Many Points To Stay Up?

by John Smith » 21 Mar 2018 11:44

Snowflake Royal wrote:.

Can you tell me what results you think we'll get vs. QPR and Sunderland please

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Re: How Many Points To Stay Up?

by Snowball » 21 Mar 2018 11:58

Snowflake Royal wrote:
I wouldn't be thinking we're going to suddenly turn everything around and go on a run just because we won one game, so why would I think much different for them?

Yeah, the hyperbolic 5 looks pretty achievable right now. I'll hold on for a bit more than one result before I start revising my outlook to them completely changing things up though if you don't mind.


They have average a little short of a point a game (0.87 ppg) for 38 games
and by all accounts they played well in their two defeats before, not
a lucky 1-0 win but a stonking 3-0.

They have all the makings of a rebound side. Logic says they ought
to get another 7, (which is more than 2)

IPSWICH, reasonable chance of 3, decent chance of 1
BURTON, excellent chance of 3, unlikely to lose, so 1 or more
SHEFF UTD, as Ipswich
FULHAM, likely defeat, but Fulham may be resting players, so a chance

Bolton very reasonable chance of 3, very decent chance of 1
Bristol likely defeat
Wolves likely defeat
QPR likely defeat but QPR may be playing a few kids by then

I'd say 7 expected, ten not impossible

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Re: How Many Points To Stay Up?

by Snowball » 21 Mar 2018 12:00

John Smith wrote:
Snowflake Royal wrote:.

Can you tell me what results you think we'll get vs. QPR and Sunderland please



I am HOPING for an upset and we beat QPR

If we do, we will relax and beat Sunderland, maybe 3-0
and everyone will be saying "what was the fuss about?"

But lose while playing badly to QPR
and I don't think we will then beat Sunderland

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Snowflake Royal
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Re: How Many Points To Stay Up?

by Snowflake Royal » 21 Mar 2018 13:47

John Smith wrote:
Snowflake Royal wrote:.

Can you tell me what results you think we'll get vs. QPR and Sunderland please

Something between two defeats and a win and a draw.

Too many variables right now.


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Re: How Many Points To Stay Up?

by Royal_jimmy » 01 Apr 2018 12:44

2 more victories should do it. Can't see Barnsley and Birmingham getting past 45 points tbh. If we hadn't won on Friday I really would be nervous.

We should target wins from Sunderland, Ipswich and Sheffield Wednesday away and aim for draws vs Preston and Villa

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BR0B0T
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Re: How Many Points To Stay Up?

by BR0B0T » 01 Apr 2018 12:48

Royal_jimmy wrote:2 more victories should do it. Can't see Barnsley and Birmingham getting past 45 points tbh. If we hadn't won on Friday I really would be nervous.

We should target wins from Sunderland, Ipswich and Sheffield Wednesday away and aim for draws vs Preston and Villa


How do you actually target certain games?

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CountryRoyal
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Re: How Many Points To Stay Up?

by CountryRoyal » 01 Apr 2018 12:50

Wednesday and Sunderland just hit decent opposition for 4. I think Ipswich will be our best bet but honestly i don’t see any reason we can’t get a good result at Villa.

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Re: How Many Points To Stay Up?

by Snowball » 01 Apr 2018 12:51

Snowball wrote:
Snowflake Royal wrote:
I wouldn't be thinking we're going to suddenly turn everything around and go on a run just because we won one game, so why would I think much different for them?

Yeah, the hyperbolic 5 looks pretty achievable right now. I'll hold on for a bit more than one result before I start revising my outlook to them completely changing things up though if you don't mind.


They have average a little short of a point a game (0.87 ppg) for 38 games
and by all accounts they played well in their two defeats before, not
a lucky 1-0 win but a stonking 3-0.

They have all the makings of a rebound side. Logic says they ought
to get another 7, (which is more than 2)

IPSWICH, reasonable chance of 3, decent chance of 1
BURTON, excellent chance of 3, unlikely to lose, so 1 or more
SHEFF UTD, as Ipswich
FULHAM, likely defeat, but Fulham may be resting players, so a chance

Bolton very reasonable chance of 3, very decent chance of 1
Bristol likely defeat
Wolves likely defeat
QPR likely defeat but QPR may be playing a few kids by then

I'd say 7 expected, ten not impossible


And they got three from the first game. Can they not get 4 points in 7 games?


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Re: How Many Points To Stay Up?

by Royal_jimmy » 01 Apr 2018 12:58

Snowball wrote:
Snowball wrote:
Snowflake Royal wrote:
I wouldn't be thinking we're going to suddenly turn everything around and go on a run just because we won one game, so why would I think much different for them?

Yeah, the hyperbolic 5 looks pretty achievable right now. I'll hold on for a bit more than one result before I start revising my outlook to them completely changing things up though if you don't mind.


They have average a little short of a point a game (0.87 ppg) for 38 games
and by all accounts they played well in their two defeats before, not
a lucky 1-0 win but a stonking 3-0.

They have all the makings of a rebound side. Logic says they ought
to get another 7, (which is more than 2)

IPSWICH, reasonable chance of 3, decent chance of 1
BURTON, excellent chance of 3, unlikely to lose, so 1 or more
SHEFF UTD, as Ipswich
FULHAM, likely defeat, but Fulham may be resting players, so a chance

Bolton very reasonable chance of 3, very decent chance of 1
Bristol likely defeat
Wolves likely defeat
QPR likely defeat but QPR may be playing a few kids by then

I'd say 7 expected, ten not impossible


And they got three from the first game. Can they not get 4 points in 7 games?


Birmingham will get 7 more points minimum I think.

It's Barnsley who look more in trouble tbf. They've got a couple derbies too

That 3-0 win at home could be what keeps us up

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Fezza
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Re: How Many Points To Stay Up?

by Fezza » 01 Apr 2018 15:47

Convinced we've got enough on 39 points!

With Clement at the helm I expect us to pick up another 8 - 10 points.

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Re: How Many Points To Stay Up?

by double d » 01 Apr 2018 16:18

Fezza wrote:Convinced we've got enough on 39 points!

With Clement at the helm I expect us to pick up another 8 - 10 points.


Lol helm

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