What points will we finish on and position

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linkenholtroyal
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Re: What points will we finish on and position

by linkenholtroyal » 14 Mar 2019 18:14

Pts Pos Name

77 06 Maff
77 06 Country Royal
================
52 17 Snowball (requires 16 from 9)
51 17 Silver Fox (requires 15 from 9)
49 19 Lower West (requires 13 from 9)
48 19 Stranded (requires 12 from 9)
48 20 Linkenholtroyal (requires 12 from 9)
47 19 Genome (requires 11 from 9)
47 20 Teepeg (requires 11 from 9)
46 21 Don't Panic! (requires 10 from 9)
45 20 Reading FM (requires 9 from 9)
45 20 Hound (requires 9 from 9)
45 21 Basildon (requires 9 from 9)
45 21 Maneki Neko (requires 9 from 9)
44 21 Barney (requires 8 from 9)
44 21 Royal Jimmy (requires 8 from 9)
44 21 Zip (requires 8 from 9)
43 21 Strap (requires 7 from 9)
43 21 Mid Sussex Royal (requires 7 from 9)
41 21 Hopeful (requires 5 from 9)
======================
42 22 3 Points (Means only 6 points from last 9 games)
39 22 Snowflake Relegated (Means only 3 points from last 9 games)
38 XX Duffy Relegated (Means only 2 points from last 9 games)
37 22 Ascot Gunner Relegated (Means only 1 point from last 9 games)

Just an update

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Re: What points will we finish on and position

by 2 world wars, 1 world cup » 14 Mar 2019 19:25

Everyone is worrying for nothing.

We definitely won't go down.

To do that, we'd have to finish in the bottom three.

Which might happen.

Oh.

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Re: What points will we finish on and position

by Mid Sussex Royal » 14 Mar 2019 20:42

The good thing now compared to when all these threads started is that now we're one of four trying to avoid 22nd place rather than one of four trying to avoid the bottom three places.

I do think it could be as much as 45/46 to be safe, Rotherham are consistently picking up points now.

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strap
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Re: What points will we finish on and position

by strap » 14 Mar 2019 23:22

Basildon wrote:21st, 45 points


This, if we are VERY lucky.

My doomsday scenario has us winning only 3 more points - PNE (home), Brentford (home) and Brum (home), meaning we will be 4 adrift of Rotherham come the end of the season. (I see them beating Forest (home), draw with Villa (home), draw at Swansea, draw at home to Brum and getting at least a draw at home to disinterested Middlesbrough on last day of the season). Nothing outrageous in any of those predictions.

For us to get to 45 points, we need Rotherham to just get the above, and we need to get a point at Stoke, hold PNE to a draw at home (their last 10 games have been W7 D3!), nick a win at home to Brentford, (historically not out of the question), nick a point at either Bristol C or more likely a disinterested (by then) Middlesbrough, meaning a nail-biting win at home to Birmingham last day of the season.

We need Rinomhata, Ejaria and Oliviera back for the run in to stand any chance of hitting 45 IMHO.

oxf*rd me I'm shitting it. 3rd tier would be a disaster for this club. Could see the Dai's leaving, us in admin, and then God only knows.

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strap
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Re: What points will we finish on and position

by strap » 14 Mar 2019 23:32

Mid Sussex Royal wrote:The good thing now compared to when all these threads started is that now we're one of four trying to avoid 22nd place rather than one of four trying to avoid the bottom three places.

I do think it could be as much as 45/46 to be safe, Rotherham are consistently picking up points now.


Although rather counter-intuitively so are we. Since 29th Jan we have P9 W3 D3 L3 F9 A13 Pts12 GD-4.

Rotherham's record over the same time is P9 W2 D5 L2 F11 A12 Pts11 GD-1
Millwall P9 W2 D2 L5 F7 A11 Pts8 GD-4
Wigan P9 W1 D4 L4 F7 A14Pts7 GD-7

Ignoring Bolton and Ipswich, is it just possible that both Reading and Rotherham could escape the drop??? We actually have the best record of the bottom 6 over the last 9 games. Replicate that and we'll be fine!!!

But then we look at the current "average position" of our remaining opponents:

Reading = 9.0
Rotherham = 8.9 (so they no have a marginally - very marginally - harder run-in than us)
Millwall = 10.8
Wigan 11.0

I'm running around in circles disappearing up my own rear-end! Bloody football - I hate it, no I love it, no I hate it , oh oxf*rd!!!


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Denver Royal
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Re: What points will we finish on and position

by Denver Royal » 15 Mar 2019 01:37

Mid Sussex Royal wrote:Rotherham are consistently picking up points now.

Said it last week. Heard it was a ‘non-story’. Well, quite. Hope it stays that way.

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Reading4eva
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Re: What points will we finish on and position

by Reading4eva » 15 Mar 2019 03:25

3 wins will do it. Anything less and its Russian Roulette. 3 points at Stoke will ease the pressure a little

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Re: What points will we finish on and position

by Reading4eva » 15 Mar 2019 03:30

Wheres the alternative version of the Rougeometer when need one.

My prediction is 45 points and 22nd. I'm making this prediction as I hope I'm wrong and in the last 2 wins the side have scored as I've whinged that we are going down on here

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Re: What points will we finish on and position

by Stranded » 15 Mar 2019 11:47

Denver Royal wrote:
Mid Sussex Royal wrote:Rotherham are consistently picking up points now.

Said it last week. Heard it was a ‘non-story’. Well, quite. Hope it stays that way.


It's not a non story, just we are picking up more points than them over any recent measure - over 6, 8, 10, 12 games we are better.

It doesn't follow that it will stay the same but it should be enough to give us confidence that we can at least match them when we have incredibly similar run-ins. Our last 3 games are the same (Brum, Boro, WBA), we both have Brum at home - we have WBA at home, they have Boro.

Their 2 recent wins came against a collapsing QPR and a Blackburn team we also beat. Outside of that, they are one of only 3 teams to lose to Ipswich and drew with Millwall, Wigan, Wednesday and us. So a similar run of games but picked up less points.

I'm not saying we are going down/staying up but I think people are, perhaps naturally, not looking at what is actually going on but knee-jerking to expected results and talking up equally weak opposition teams as a result.


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Re: What points will we finish on and position

by John Smith » 15 Mar 2019 11:58

Stranded wrote:I'm not saying we are going down/staying up

I'm willing to bet heavily on it being one of the two.

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