THE BETTING THREAD

[jd82]

Surely

You keep using that word...

etc etc

[BR2]

Not my usual type of bet but did a treble last night on these hopeless teams to lose:
Andorra
Luxembourg
Thailand
£100 produced a return of £216.
I did end up backing the draw for £10 in the Luxembourg game when they were 3-2 down with 5 minutes to play on the basis that they had (amazingly for them)somehow managed to score 2 so they could possibly get a third.

The best price of those was Latvia at Andorra at 2/5 where I thought (with Andorra's record) should have been nearer 1/5.
It struck me as one of those "too good to be true" bets but we all know that it doesn't always work out.

[Pepe the Horseman]

Not my usual type of bet but did a treble last night on these hopeless teams to lose:
Andorra
Luxembourg
Thailand
£100 produced a return of £216.
I did end up backing the draw for £10 in the Luxembourg game when they were 3-2 down with 5 minutes to play on the basis that they had (amazingly for them)somehow managed to score 2 so they could possibly get a third.

The best price of those was Latvia at Andorra at 2/5 where I thought (with Andorra's record) should have been nearer 1/5.
It struck me as one of those "too good to be true" bets but we all know that it doesn't always work out.

Feel a bit sorry for LUX. They equalised in the 91st min, only for Bulgaria to get the winner in the 92nd.

[Top Flight]

Another good night of betting. Tonight I backed the sides that play in black and white. From the National League North I backed Darlington to win or draw with Stockport County (remember them? I was at Stockport that midweek night when we took a 1-1 draw to take a huge step towards promotion under Mark McGhee.) That earned me a £12 profit.

Then from Brazil's Serie A, I backed Botafogo in their clash with Fluminense. That was for another £12 profit. I cashed out early on that one to secure £11.10.

My position now stands at:

Bet365: £180
Betfair: £229

Both bets were to lay off Stockport and Fluminense. So I would win with wins or draws for my teams in black and white.

[Silver Fox]

Another good night of betting. Tonight I backed the sides that play in black and white.

[exileinleeds]

Another good night of betting. Tonight I backed the sides that play in black and white.

Quite.

When I go to the races I back the jockeys wearing hoops....it's how it works right?

[double d]

I wish we could hof the last 40-odd pages. It's brilliant.

I may back a football team playing who have the letter V in their name
Today.

[Winston Smith]

went to the races yesterday, backed every horse running on a Wednesday.

[Top Flight]

Well, that strategy didn't do me any harm. Onwards towards the grand!

[Silver Fox]

went to the races yesterday, backed every horse running on a Wednesday.

You mock, I'm looking forward to the day Jay backs every horse in a race and celebrates his winning bet

[Top Flight]

Anyone got any betting ideas for today?

[Winston Smith]

[double d]

I think all teams in Red and White stripes will win today, but ONLY if they a 4-3-3 formation and a goalkeeper who has a name beginning with J.

[genome]

I've heard teams who play in green are in good form.

[Top Flight]

After a blockbuster start to my betting campaign this season, I am sure you will all be delighted to know that I am well on track to hitting my £1000 target on each account by the end of the season. My Bet365 account is up 80% in the first month of the football season and my Betfair account is up 129%. I am sure that you will all agree that these are truly outstanding figures and confirm my growing competence in the betting markets.

I need to increase my accounts by 20% per month in order to get to my goals. This is where my Betfair account should be month by month as we cruise through the football season:

Current Balance: £229
by end of September: £274
by end of October: £329
by end of November: £395
by end of December: £474
by end of January: £569
by end of February: £683
by end of March: £820
by end of April: £984
by end of May: £1181

Bet365 needs to rise by 22% per month from this point in order for me to get to my target before the end of the season. This is where I need to be each month.

Current Balance: £180
by end of September: £219
by end of October: £267
by end of November: £326
by end of December: £398
by end of January: £486
by end of February: £593
by end of March: £724
by end of April: £883
by end of May: £1077

I only need to add £45 to my Betfair account this month to remain on course. My Bet365 needs £39 added in order to stay on track. Any advice on staking amounts and risk management issues will be gratefully received at this stage. Should I be increasing my stake sizes at this point, or should I in fact be reducing them as I only need £45 this month in each account to be on the right track? Should I be increasing my stakes as my account size increases? What about my betting frequency? What number of bets should I place this month to stay on the course? I'm trying to stick to a plan and a system to ensure that I don't go off on a tangent and make human errors. The more I can stick to a system, the more likely I will be to hit targets. I'm just not completely sure what my system should be. But, it's clear that I am well on course at the moment so should remain calm and make good selections.

[Sanguine]

Bullshit. You aren't trying to stick to a plan. You're totally obsessed with this and betting if, when and how you see fit. And that's fine. But don't pretend you have a plan, you can't even manage to bet only a certain % of your bankroll.

Good luck though!

Btw it's considered poor etiquette to 'after-time', that is post about your bets once you have won. How about posting them before the event?

[Top Flight]

I've heard teams who play in green are in good form.

So are you telling me to back Celtic in Saturday's old firm derby? That sounds like a great shout.
How should I bet on the game? Do I back Celtic on bet365 at 1.57 or do I lay Rangers off on betfair at 6?
I think Leigh Griffiths will miss this game though. How will that affect Celtic? How important is he? They still have Sinclair I suppose. It might be best to lay Rangers.

[Winston Smith]

lolz @ only ever posting up losing bets before they happen but after the event bets are usually winners.

[Top Flight]

Btw it's considered poor etiquette to 'after-time', that is post about your bets once you have won. How about posting them before the event?

I'm not making this stuff up. This is a serious challenge. The bets are real. There isn't always the time to talk about bets before the event. When you're betting in a serious manner as I am, you have to take opportunities as they arise and concentrate on games and be ready to cash out of them when the game starts running away from you as I did on Czech Republic / Northern Ireland and Botafogo / Fluminense. I am watching and analysing the games. This is serious stuff. I can't be posting on HNA while I am focussed on a match. I need to be ready to execute bets or cash out if the game doesn't go the way I was expecting.

[Sanguine]

You're taking the piss m9.