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by Snowball
08 Apr 2020 17:46
Forum: The Team
Topic: Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 1004
Views: 44837

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

Hound If you haven't lost everyone already, you certainly have now



That won't mean I'm wrong.
by Snowball
08 Apr 2020 16:12
Forum: The Team
Topic: Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 1004
Views: 44837

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

The Coronavirus takes approximately 14 days to kill Keeping it simple for the moment, 14 days ago (24-March) there were 339,752 infections (excluding China) and the deaths 14 days later were (excl China) were 79,831 = 23.5% of Confirmed Cases. It is the cases BACK THEN that create the bulk of the d...
by Snowball
08 Apr 2020 15:57
Forum: The Team
Topic: Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 1004
Views: 44837

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

I don't believe that the figures for resolved cases in any country can be relied upon to draw any conclusions whatsoever. Of course there are deaths outside hospital, but, for a moment pretend there are not. That is, anyone seriously ill with Covid goes into hospital and is logged as a Covid Case. ...
by Snowball
08 Apr 2020 15:47
Forum: The Team
Topic: Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 1004
Views: 44837

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

So do you honestly believe that only 135 people have recovered in Britain? No. I haven't used the UK "recovered number" because it's clearly wrong. However, there IS a figure for active cases 48,948 on 7th April. Take that away from the 55,242 Total Cases you get 6,294 RESOLVED Cases (whi...
by Snowball
08 Apr 2020 13:46
Forum: The Team
Topic: Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 1004
Views: 44837

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

Italy reports 41% of their confirmed cases have died Italy confirmed cases 135,586 Italy deaths 17,127 12.63% Not 41% NO. That is the "CRUDE Death rate" The crude death rate is deaths (NOW) against all Confirmed Cases, but those are seriously underestimated death numbers because many of t...
by Snowball
08 Apr 2020 13:04
Forum: The Team
Topic: Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 1004
Views: 44837

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

Is there anyone mathematically aware here that can answer a couple of questions for me? The Resolved Cases Number is split into "Got Better and was discharged" plus Deaths WORLDWIDE 391,743 RESOLVED CASES 308,653 Got Better, Discharged 083,090 Died in Hospital That means for all confirmed...
by Snowball
08 Apr 2020 11:56
Forum: The Team
Topic: Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 1004
Views: 44837

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

I like numbers, facts (who'd've guessed?). Like "Who is best at predicting Reading games?" Answer: we are all appallingly bad, but the least bad Nobbers are.. . Buried in those numbers would be who is best at predicting home games v away games? Who is most pessimistic? Most optimistic? Ar...
by Snowball
08 Apr 2020 11:54
Forum: The Team
Topic: Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 1004
Views: 44837

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

FAO Snowball https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/12/opinion/sunday/coronavirus-statistics.html Ho-Ho. I believe the opposite is true, BTW (and it's not causality). Those who are anxious may seek out the stats. That doesn't mean those who seek out the stats are anxious. Philosophy and Logic 101. (Yes, I...
by Snowball
08 Apr 2020 11:14
Forum: The Team
Topic: Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 1004
Views: 44837

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

Here is a lovely set of statistics Yesterday the Govt/NHS whoever published the following (without percentages) 213,181 Tests 0 55,242 Positives 0 18,589 Hospitalised 00 6,155 Hospitalised Dead SO? 26% of tests positive 33% of THOSE end up in hospital 33% of those hospitalised patients die So that i...
by Snowball
08 Apr 2020 11:01
Forum: The Team
Topic: Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 1004
Views: 44837

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

FAO Snowball https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/12/opinion/sunday/coronavirus-statistics.html Ho-Ho. I believe the opposite is true, BTW (and it's not causality). Those who are anxious may seek out the stats. That doesn't mean those who seek out the stats are anxious. Philosophy and Logic 101. (Yes, I...
by Snowball
07 Apr 2020 15:59
Forum: The Team
Topic: Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 1004
Views: 44837

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

This thread is utterly bizarre, on a forum about Reading football club first team, a random guy posts his interpretation of the limited and flawed data on a pandemic outbreak, and every other post is someone criticising him, or asking him to stop, and then he gets angry about it. Seriously, what's ...
by Snowball
07 Apr 2020 14:29
Forum: The Team
Topic: Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 1004
Views: 44837

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

Yeah we have loads of live football to discuss Spain now has 3,003 Confirmed Cases per million. That is 0.3%. This, so far 99.7% have not been shown to be positive. If EVERY one of these people has it or has had it, that ration is 332 unseen positives to 1 confirmed case 332:1 That 332 comes down ev...
by Snowball
07 Apr 2020 13:23
Forum: The Team
Topic: Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 1004
Views: 44837

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

Spain and Italy infections appear to be levelling off slightly, Is it any coincidence it coincides with the arrival of the warm weather in southern Europe? Effect of their lockdowns. They both locked down before the UK and it takes 1-2 weeks to begin to affect new cases a further 2 weeks to affect ...
by Snowball
07 Apr 2020 13:22
Forum: The Team
Topic: Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 1004
Views: 44837

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

Interesting Quote "An estimated additional 180 - 195 deaths per day occurring at home in New York City due to COVID-19 are not being counted in the official figures. "Early on in this crisis we were able to swab people who died at home, and thus got a coronavirus reading. But those days a...
by Snowball
07 Apr 2020 11:57
Forum: The Team
Topic: Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 1004
Views: 44837

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

The ONS is now indicating the difference between ALL Covid Deaths v the lower" Hospital Covid Deaths" In the week ending March 27th Hospital Covid-19 deaths were 92.7% of all Covid deaths (where Covid was given as a cause on the death certificate and ratified by a doctor) So that is 92.7%...
by Snowball
07 Apr 2020 10:23
Forum: The Team
Topic: Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 1004
Views: 44837

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

STOP typing random word in CAPITAL letters and try to stop being a complete DOUCHE. "I categorically tell you, THERE WILL BE NO LOCKDOWN" You're a lunatic. Seek help. Just pointing out how on AE you ranted about "There will be no lockdown" repeating and repeating your incorrect ...
by Snowball
07 Apr 2020 10:01
Forum: The Team
Topic: Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 1004
Views: 44837

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

Old Man Andrews STOP typing random word in CAPITAL letters and try to stop being a complete DOUCHE.




Old Man Andrews "I categorically tell you, THERE WILL BE NO LOCKDOWN"
by Snowball
07 Apr 2020 09:59
Forum: The Team
Topic: Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 1004
Views: 44837

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

Did the Oxford study actually say that half the people had the thing, or just that it was in the range of their modelling? Basically until widespread testing took place, they also had no idea Hi Hound It used two scenarios. The LOW was 36% and the high (based on a lethality ten times weaker than se...
by Snowball
07 Apr 2020 09:43
Forum: The Team
Topic: Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 1004
Views: 44837

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

BTW According to you, and the Oxford clowns "Over half of the UK have had Coronavirus" So over half of the population of Reading has had Coronavirus!! So over half of the population of HobNob has had Coronavirus. Shout out folks! So over half of the 650 MPs in Westminster have had Coronav...
by Snowball
07 Apr 2020 09:31
Forum: The Team
Topic: Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 1004
Views: 44837

Re: Coronavirus outbreak

I reckon when amateurs start calling experts ‘clowns’ because they think being able to put numbers on a spreadsheet means they ‘understand’ it might just be time to take a timeout. Read what the experts are saying about the assumptions made when building the model. Some have heavily criticised the ...
It is currently 09 Apr 2020 11:22