tmesisNamelesstmesis Or there could be fans back from the Autumn. We don't know yet.
If social distancing I’ll be required until at least the end of the year I would be interested in an explanation of how any sporting events will take place with more than a token number of spectators present.
County cricket should be ok to start on May 1st though.
But we don't know that.
History suggests that pandemics come in waves, peaking, then dropping to almost nothing, but really, all anybody is doing at the moment is guessing.
It's perfectly acceptable to say "if a, then b..." but if 'a' is speculation, then so is 'b'.
The person ‘guessing’ is pretty qualified to make a highly educated guess. It’s not like picking lottery numbers, there are scores of people who actually know about this stuff and how it is most likely to pan out.
Your ‘we could be back to normal in the autumn’ isn’t even a guess, it’s just disagreeing with what the best opinion says....