Magic Number

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Stranded
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Magic Number

by Stranded » 18 Mar 2022 09:48

Quick thread to keep track on what needs to happen for us to stay up.

For those not familiar with the magic number, it is the total number of points that need to be won or dropped for us finish above the sides below us. A win for us drops the number by 3, whilst a defeat for any of those below also decreases the number by 3.

So in any round of games, the total may drop by 6 points. Will be one magic number per side and as it, hopefully, drops to zero will drop that side off the list.

Magic Number

Barnsley - 26
Peterboro - 21
Derby - 19


Will update after every round of games.

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Green
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Re: Magic Number

by Green » 18 Mar 2022 10:00


blythspartan
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Re: Magic Number

by blythspartan » 18 Mar 2022 10:23

Sorry, if I sound dumb but if I use Derby as an example are you saying that they are currently 6 points behind us and they can get 24 more points. Therefore, 24 - 6 = 18, hence one more to finish above is where 19 comes from?

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Re: Magic Number

by Stranded » 18 Mar 2022 10:30

blythspartan Sorry, if I sound dumb but if I use Derby as an example are you saying that they are currently 6 points behind us and they can get 24 more points. Therefore, 24 - 6 = 18, hence one more to finish above is where 19 comes from?


Essentially yes, as that takes GD out of the equation.

So if we beat Blackburn tomorrow but they lost to Coventry, then the magic number drops to 13.

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Re: Magic Number

by blythspartan » 18 Mar 2022 10:36

Stranded
blythspartan Sorry, if I sound dumb but if I use Derby as an example are you saying that they are currently 6 points behind us and they can get 24 more points. Therefore, 24 - 6 = 18, hence one more to finish above is where 19 comes from?


Essentially yes, as that takes GD out of the equation.

So if we beat Blackburn tomorrow but they lost to Coventry, then the magic number drops to 13.


Brill, I understand and I like it as it’s a good way of monitoring the position week on week.


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paultheroyal
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Re: Magic Number

by paultheroyal » 18 Mar 2022 10:39

oxf*rd that.

Let me make this easy for everyone.

We need four wins, simple as that. Starting tomorrow.

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John Smith
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Re: Magic Number

by John Smith » 18 Mar 2022 11:04

paultheroyal oxf*rd that.

Let me make this easy for everyone.

We need four wins, simple as that. Starting tomorrow.

Quite possibly the first sensible thing you've ever said on here

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NathStPaul
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Re: Magic Number

by NathStPaul » 18 Mar 2022 11:07

paultheroyal oxf*rd that.

Let me make this easy for everyone.

We need four wins, simple as that. Starting tomorrow.

Simple.

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Snowflake Royal
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Re: Magic Number

by Snowflake Royal » 18 Mar 2022 11:15

Stranded Quick thread to keep track on what needs to happen for us to stay up.

For those not familiar with the magic number, it is the total number of points that need to be won or dropped for us finish above the sides below us. A win for us drops the number by 3, whilst a defeat for any of those below also decreases the number by 3.

So in any round of games, the total may drop by 6 points. Will be one magic number per side and as it, hopefully, drops to zero will drop that side off the list.

Magic Number

Barnsley - 26
Peterboro - 21
Derby - 19


Will update after every round of games.

Good stuff. Loved the magic number stuff in 2006.

This works great and doesn’t involve any bullshit arbitrary predictions of what is necessary.


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SouthDownsRoyal
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Re: Magic Number

by SouthDownsRoyal » 19 Mar 2022 08:41

I like it, I feel it’s going to be depressing though as I don’t see where we are getting any points from

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Hendo
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Re: Magic Number

by Hendo » 19 Mar 2022 09:39

I miss the Rouge-o-meter.

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Snowflake Royal
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Re: Magic Number

by Snowflake Royal » 19 Mar 2022 11:23

Hendo I miss the Rouge-o-meter.

I can try a pale imitation if you'd like.

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Re: Magic Number

by South Coast Royal » 19 Mar 2022 11:27

We could do with Barnsley getting a few thrashings.
At the moment our goal difference is -30 and theirs is -24.

Hopefully not but we could look back on the season and think that this team doesn't deserve to stay up after so many capitulations during the season confirming that generally they have been a spineless bunch.


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Dirk Gently
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Re: Magic Number

by Dirk Gently » 19 Mar 2022 15:54

South Coast Royal We could do with Barnsley getting a few thrashings.
At the moment our goal difference is -30 and theirs is -24.


Or just beat them 3-0 in two weeks' time.

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Re: Magic Number

by Stranded » 19 Mar 2022 17:33

After today

Barnsley - 20
Peterborough - 18
Derby - 14

Could change tomorrow depending on Peterborough's result.

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Re: Magic Number

by SCIAG » 19 Mar 2022 18:21

B-e-a-u-tiful.

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Re: Magic Number

by Weymouth Royal » 19 Mar 2022 18:35

Peterborough are done. That would take a phenomenal change in form and fortune to stay up. Barnsley are our only concern IMO.

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paultheroyal
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Re: Magic Number

by paultheroyal » 19 Mar 2022 19:07

The only stat you need…

3 more wins (might be two if we beat Barnsley)

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Re: Magic Number

by JR » 19 Mar 2022 19:29

paultheroyal The only stat you need…

3 more wins (might be two if we beat Barnsley)


Disagree about this x number of wins - so many variables that it’s too simplistic to say that.

I would say 8 draws and we are very likely to stay up.

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Re: Magic Number

by Gunny Fishcake » 19 Mar 2022 19:40

We will stay up and finish fourth from bottom

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