betting

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Silver Fox
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Re: betting

by Silver Fox » 08 Mar 2012 07:47

RFCSPACE If you assume home games we're usually favourites at around 6/4 -> 18 games so far and away we're usually underdogs at around 9/4 -> 16 games so far.

10 home wins would yield £5 profit per game -> £50 -> less the 8 games we haven't won (-£80) would be a loss of £30.
9 away wins would yield £12.50 profit per game -> £112.50 -> less the 7 games we haven't won (-£70) would be a profit of £42.50.

So overall you'll be looking at a whopping £12.50 profit for your £340 investment.

Very rough I know, but betting on everything doesn't really work. The law of averages would imply you'd break even over time.


errrrm, £10 @ 6/4 will give you £15 profit, 9/4 £22.50

time well spent though

RFCSPACE
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Re: betting

by RFCSPACE » 08 Mar 2012 08:11

Silver Fox
RFCSPACE If you assume home games we're usually favourites at around 6/4 -> 18 games so far and away we're usually underdogs at around 9/4 -> 16 games so far.

10 home wins would yield £5 profit per game -> £50 -> less the 8 games we haven't won (-£80) would be a loss of £30.
9 away wins would yield £12.50 profit per game -> £112.50 -> less the 7 games we haven't won (-£70) would be a profit of £42.50.

So overall you'll be looking at a whopping £12.50 profit for your £340 investment.

Very rough I know, but betting on everything doesn't really work. The law of averages would imply you'd break even over time.


errrrm, £10 @ 6/4 will give you £15 profit, 9/4 £22.50

time well spent though


At least somebody picked up on it :lol:

Moral of the story, don't bet kids. Or screw all logic and just bet Reading to win every game and it will be profitable.

Snowball
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Re: betting

by Snowball » 08 Mar 2012 08:12

Wimb
Wimb If you want to have a look at how our odds have changed over the season then this is a decent starting point

http://thetilehurstend.co.uk/2011/08/03 ... ew-201112/

To make you really sick...

http://thetilehurstend.co.uk/2011/09/27 ... r-27-2011/

Reading's title odds were 66/1 then, with promotion odds of 12/1


Even worse, Stan James were offering 150/1 on Reading to win the title in December :shock:



I would have offered 10,000,000-1, as it was impossible to win it in December. :wink:

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Wimb
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Re: betting

by Wimb » 08 Mar 2012 08:13

Snowball
Wimb
Wimb If you want to have a look at how our odds have changed over the season then this is a decent starting point

http://thetilehurstend.co.uk/2011/08/03 ... ew-201112/

To make you really sick...

http://thetilehurstend.co.uk/2011/09/27 ... r-27-2011/

Reading's title odds were 66/1 then, with promotion odds of 12/1


Even worse, Stan James were offering 150/1 on Reading to win the title in December :shock:



I would have offered 10,000,000-1, as it was impossible to win it in December. :wink:


Nonsense, twasn't impossible, the rest of the league could have all folded leaving Reading as the only team left and therefore Champions by default ;)

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The Prisoner
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Re: betting

by The Prisoner » 08 Mar 2012 09:19

Not quite in the spirit of the OP, but for the last 20 or so games I have put £4 or £5 on each of the most likely scorelines that we are involved with - 1-0, 2-0, 0-1, 0-0 or 1-1. I have been paid out on 15 games. With the average odds for correct scorelines being 10-1 (got 20-1 on Reading 0-1 Stevenage, but 1-0 home wins are usually only 7 or 8s) I have effectively doubled up 15 times and lost the stake 5 times. It's not spectacular, but it's a solid earner based on 75% of our last 20 games ending up with one of those scores. You could ramp up the risk-return by dropping the two drawing score lines as they have come up the least, but I think they will kick back in to return.

More in the spirit of the OP - the season we went down from the prem (started badly, picked up, lost a load, picked up, Fulham go on a run, we capitulate) - put £10 on the oppo from around Jan onwards, everytime i collected I put it on us to go down (which was about 7s when we picked up after the 10 in a row losses) and took around £1500 in winnings/compensation.


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Pepe the Horseman
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Re: betting

by Pepe the Horseman » 08 Mar 2012 10:15

Must admit I LOLd in the face of a poster who asked what price we were to win the league not so long ago. Still think it might be asking too much, but fair play to anyone who had a punt.

redscot
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Re: betting

by redscot » 08 Mar 2012 11:34

RFCSPACE
Silver Fox
RFCSPACE If you assume home games we're usually favourites at around 6/4 -> 18 games so far and away we're usually underdogs at around 9/4 -> 16 games so far.

10 home wins would yield £5 profit per game -> £50 -> less the 8 games we haven't won (-£80) would be a loss of £30.
9 away wins would yield £12.50 profit per game -> £112.50 -> less the 7 games we haven't won (-£70) would be a profit of £42.50.

So overall you'll be looking at a whopping £12.50 profit for your £340 investment.

Very rough I know, but betting on everything doesn't really work. The law of averages would imply you'd break even over time.


errrrm, £10 @ 6/4 will give you £15 profit, 9/4 £22.50

time well spent though


At least somebody picked up on it :lol:

Moral of the story, don't bet kids. Or screw all logic and just bet Reading to win every game and it will be profitable.


Everytime Reading wins a game you get back your £10, so the total outlay is not £460 for the 46 games. For the last 7 games you would only invest £10 and reap a return that would make banks envy...

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Wimb
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Re: betting

by Wimb » 08 Mar 2012 12:44


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