BBC vs Get Reading.

14 posts   •   Page 1 of 1
marlowuk
Member
Posts: 887
Joined: 18 Aug 2012 16:25

BBC vs Get Reading.

by marlowuk » 04 Apr 2016 02:20

So who is right?

I think we can relax in the sense that we are not going to be relegated but are we actually mathematically certain to avoid the drop? Both comments below were delivered after our 0 - 1 victory over Bolton.

BBC - Reading's 1-0 win at Bolton meant the Royals are mathematically assured of their place in the Championship next season.

Get Reading - And although Reading are not mathematically safe, the general feeling is they will have enough to get over the line.

Snowball?

Ravel
Member
Posts: 38
Joined: 17 Mar 2015 02:29

Re: BBC vs Get Reading.

by Ravel » 04 Apr 2016 04:12

There are 46 games in a season, MK Dons are in 22nd place at the moment and they have played 39 games, leaving 7 left to play. At 3 points a win, that's a maximum of 21 points they can still gain. They are currently on 37 points, which means that they could potentially end the season on 58 points.

Reading currently have 48 points. So either it looks like MK Dons can still overtake us, or I can't do mental arithmetics at 4am.

We are safe from finishing in last position though, as we're 22 points off 24th place.

User avatar
CountryRoyal
Hob Nob Super-Addict
Posts: 10697
Joined: 12 Aug 2011 13:44

Re: BBC vs Get Reading.

by CountryRoyal » 04 Apr 2016 04:36

Bizarrely GetReading, though considering BBC these days maybe that isn't such a surprise.

I think we can blame lazy journalism rather than a blatant ignorance of the concept of mathematical certainty.

Stranded
Hob Nob Subscriber
Hob Nob Subscriber
Posts: 20302
Joined: 14 Apr 2004 12:42
Location: Propping up the bar in the Nags

Re: BBC vs Get Reading.

by Stranded » 04 Apr 2016 08:58

CountryRoyal Bizarrely GetReading, though considering BBC these days maybe that isn't such a surprise.

I think we can blame lazy journalism rather than a blatant ignorance of the concept of mathematical certainty.


Unless they've gone through the fixture list with a fine toothcomb and seen that there are enough games between the sides placed 14-24 that it is impossible for us to be passed by enough sides to end up in the bottom 3.

Sutekh
Hob Nob Legend
Posts: 20551
Joined: 12 Feb 2014 14:05
Location: Undiscovered pyramid somewhere in Egypt

Re: BBC vs Get Reading.

by Sutekh » 04 Apr 2016 11:07

Lazy journalism. Reading - and all other sides in the bottom half of the division are not mathematically safe from relegation.It's just very unlikely that any side with more than 45 points at the moment is likely to go down as it would require a large turnaround in form from one of the three hopeless cases at the bottom.


Forbury Lion
Hob Nob Subscriber
Hob Nob Subscriber
Posts: 9198
Joined: 14 Apr 2004 08:37
Location: https://youtu.be/c4sX57ZUhzc

Re: BBC vs Get Reading.

by Forbury Lion » 04 Apr 2016 11:14

I reckon we are statistically safe, although I don't have the statistics to hand to prove this.

Mathematically safe is the next target, followed by realistically safe (baring a points deduction for failing to fulfill a fixture or insolvency) then definitely safe.

User avatar
LWJ
Hob Nob Addict
Posts: 7561
Joined: 10 Aug 2007 09:59
Location: Hobnob Prediction League Champion 2011/2012, 2020/2021

Re: BBC vs Get Reading.

by LWJ » 04 Apr 2016 11:17

We aren't mathematically out of the playoffs either..

User avatar
LUX
Hob Nob Subscriber
Hob Nob Subscriber
Posts: 13467
Joined: 14 Apr 2004 09:38
Location: Keep this frequency clear

Re: BBC vs Get Reading.

by LUX » 04 Apr 2016 11:30

plus we can still win the Premiership next season.

User avatar
genome
Hob Nob Legend
Posts: 25929
Joined: 08 Jul 2012 13:29
Location: Universe

Re: BBC vs Get Reading.

by genome » 04 Apr 2016 11:41

And the Champions League the year after that.


marlowuk
Member
Posts: 887
Joined: 18 Aug 2012 16:25

Re: BBC vs Get Reading.

by marlowuk » 04 Apr 2016 12:43

Stranded
CountryRoyal Bizarrely GetReading, though considering BBC these days maybe that isn't such a surprise.

I think we can blame lazy journalism rather than a blatant ignorance of the concept of mathematical certainty.


Unless they've gone through the fixture list with a fine toothcomb and seen that there are enough games between the sides placed 14-24 that it is impossible for us to be passed by enough sides to end up in the bottom 3.

That is exactly the question. Maybe Snowball is still working on it?

Sutekh
Hob Nob Legend
Posts: 20551
Joined: 12 Feb 2014 14:05
Location: Undiscovered pyramid somewhere in Egypt

Re: BBC vs Get Reading.

by Sutekh » 04 Apr 2016 16:18

Guess for yourselves....

Remaining MK Dons fixtures

5 Apr > Wolves (h)
9 Apr > Rotherham (h)
16 Apr > Preston (a)
19 Apr > Sheff Wed (a)
23 Apr > Brentford (h)
30 Apr > Ipswich (a)
7 May > Nottm Forest (h)

Remaining Charlton fixtures

5 Apr > Ipswich (a)
9 Apr > QPR (a)
16 Apr > Derby (h)
19 Apr > Bolton (a)
23 Apr > Brighton (h)
30 Apr > Leeds (a)
7 May > Burnley (h)

User avatar
Lower West
Hob Nob Subscriber
Hob Nob Subscriber
Posts: 4993
Joined: 14 Apr 2004 11:35
Location: Admiring Clem Morfuni at Work

Re: BBC vs Get Reading.

by Lower West » 04 Apr 2016 17:38

Sutekh Guess for yourselves....

Remaining MK Dons fixtures

5 Apr > Wolves (h)
9 Apr > Rotherham (h)
16 Apr > Preston (a)
19 Apr > Sheff Wed (a)
23 Apr > Brentford (h)
30 Apr > Ipswich (a)
7 May > Nottm Forest (h)



For a team fighting for survival that's not a bad fixture list.

User avatar
Ian Royal
Hob Nob Legend
Posts: 35156
Joined: 15 Apr 2004 13:43
Location: Playing spot the pc*nt on HNA?

Re: BBC vs Get Reading.

by Ian Royal » 04 Apr 2016 18:31

The way the fixtures run, we could mathematically be in the relegation zone after four games by my reckoning.
MK win 4 = 49
Fulham win 3 = 50
Rotherham win 2, draw 1, lose 1(MK) = 49 (they play Bristol and MK in their next two which extends things)
Bristol win 3 = 49
Huddersfield win 1 draw 1 = 49
Brentford win 1 = 49
Forest win 1 = 49
Blackburn win 1 = 49
Leeds win 1 = 50

If MK can still get to 58, that puts our Magic Number at 11, right?

Any combination of MK dropping and us gaining 11 points, assuming Charlton don't overhaul both of us (9 points vs them) and we become mathematically safe.


User avatar
Z175
Hob Nob Regular
Posts: 1704
Joined: 19 Jul 2004 18:52
Location: All time championship championes

Re: BBC vs Get Reading.

by Z175 » 04 Apr 2016 19:28

total joke from the BBC!

That said - it won't take much now.

14 posts   •   Page 1 of 1

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 108 guests

It is currently 23 Dec 2024 23:39