Coronavirus outbreak

[Old Man Andrews]

Don't engage the racist Snowball, you're better than that.

[Snowball]

The Johns Hopkins University site has a daily update,
every country, many by state, with confirmed cases,
deaths etc.

What interests me is that you may read, for example,

UK 384 Cases, 6 deaths but what is not widely-reported
is that just EIGHTEEN are considered recovered.

Worldwide.

119,451 Confirmed Cases
65,972 Recovered
53,479 NOT Recovered
4,635 Deaths

I think this explains why the death-rate is so wildly different
between countries. Germany is only 0.13% (2 People) but of
those confirmed cases only 1% have recovered, as yet

Seems like the death rate of 3.89% in China, 6.22% in Italy might
be nearer the eventual death rate

ATM the UK death rate is 1.57%. Where will it finish?

Is there an "assist" stat with that?

That comp is over. I've won.

Seriously, a few days ago I started trying to think of how many people I'd been in contact with since Wednesday. Just of the ones I remembered it was a stupidly high amount. The people I went up Etna with have now been, or are in, Catania, Palermo, Sardinia, Rome, London. Barcelona (on his way back to Argentina, and, most importantly Thatcham.

And each of those, people on flights etc.

I had text addresses so gave my Etna contacts a heads-up, that I've had symptoms, so ATM am a possible. The Argentinian guy said Italy is now like a war zone and he'd got out of Sardinia on a ship to Barcelona.

They were queueing to be tested for high temp and the man in front of him in the line was had a high temp and was taken away.

But of course he could easily have infected my Argentinian mate....

(If he wasn't already infected)

[Snowball]

Another reason why we should close our boarders and end the freedom of movement.

What have B&Bs got to do with this?

B&Bs? please elucidate.

You wrote BOARDERS (not borders)

[Snowball]

Don't engage the racist Snowball, you're better than that.

I was being a spelling-Nazi

[Ascotexgunner]

The Johns Hopkins University site has a daily update,
every country, many by state, with confirmed cases,
deaths etc.

What interests me is that you may read, for example,

UK 384 Cases, 6 deaths but what is not widely-reported
is that just EIGHTEEN are considered recovered.

Worldwide.

119,451 Confirmed Cases
65,972 Recovered
53,479 NOT Recovered
4,635 Deaths

I think this explains why the death-rate is so wildly different
between countries. Germany is only 0.13% (2 People) but of
those confirmed cases only 1% have recovered, as yet

Seems like the death rate of 3.89% in China, 6.22% in Italy might
be nearer the eventual death rate

ATM the UK death rate is 1.57%. Where will it finish?

Is there an "assist" stat with that?

That comp is over. I've won.

Seriously, a few days ago I started trying to think of how many people I'd been in contact with since Wednesday. Just of the ones I remembered it was a stupidly high amount. The people I went up Etna with have now been, or are in, Catania, Palermo, Sardinia, Rome, London. Barcelona (on his way back to Argentina, and, most importantly Thatcham.

And each of those, people on flights etc.

I had text addresses so gave my Etna contacts a heads-up, that I've had symptoms, so ATM am a possible. The Argentinian guy said Italy is now like a war zone and he'd got out of Sardinia on a ship to Barcelona.

They were queueing to be tested for high temp and the man in front of him in the line was had a high temp and was taken away.

But of course he could easily have infected my Argentinian mate....

(If he wasn't already infected)

Yeah I saw pictures of armed military on the street in parts of Italy. That must be really surreal to the modern day Italian.
My dad is now in a nursing home and they wont let visitors in unless they go through a series of checks at the door (temperature check etc)...just off to there. TBH I wasn't too worried at first but now I look at some of these care homes and that virus would go through them like wildfire. This is the care homes decision as well, the government should have made it compulsory...….as well as visiting hospitals without good reason.

[karbota]

What have B&Bs got to do with this?

B&Bs? please elucidate.

You wrote BOARDERS (not borders)

Ah yes sorry senior moment, been caught on that one before. But what is racist about my post?.

[Snowball]

I never mentioned racism. That was someone else.

But since I look after asylum-seeking refugees,
let's say I don't believe in borders

[Millsy]

I never mentioned racism. That was someone else.

But since I look after asylum-seeking refugees,
let's say I don't believe in borders

+1

Top post, my man.

[Nameless]

The Johns Hopkins University site has a daily update,
every country, many by state, with confirmed cases,
deaths etc.

What interests me is that you may read, for example,

UK 384 Cases, 6 deaths but what is not widely-reported
is that just EIGHTEEN are considered recovered.

Worldwide.

119,451 Confirmed Cases
65,972 Recovered
53,479 NOT Recovered
4,635 Deaths

I think this explains why the death-rate is so wildly different
between countries. Germany is only 0.13% (2 People) but of
those confirmed cases only 1% have recovered, as yet

Seems like the death rate of 3.89% in China, 6.22% in Italy might
be nearer the eventual death rate

ATM the UK death rate is 1.57%. Where will it finish?

I have read that the death rates in China are likely to be higher because lung health generally starts off pretty poor due to air quality issues plus smoking is more widespread. I would imagine Italy may have some similar factors at play .

[Bonzodog]

Merkel has predicted that 60% to 70% of the German population will get Coronavirus. Still surprised here that everything is carrying on as normal other than mass purchasing of toilet rolls and pasta. Will be surprised if we see football played after this weekend.

[Old Man Andrews]

Merkel has predicted that 60% to 70% of the German population will get Coronavirus. Still surprised here that everything is carrying on as normal other than mass purchasing of toilet rolls and pasta. Will be surprised if we see football played after this weekend.

Everything will carry on as normal, it is what we do here.

[Snowball]

I think the death rate will climb

The APPARENT death rate is made to look lower because many people are sick still.

They may recover but some will die

Look at the death rate percentage and apply it to the official numbers still I’ll.

There is no way, for example, That Germany can be 0.15% and Italy 6.8%

They will move close to parity, probably between 4 and 4.5%

Also as viruses mutate they usually get weaker which should mean catching the virus in 2-3 months time will be less serious. So expect the death rate to rise. Then flatten, the fall back a bit.

Nothing to do with medical skills, just how pandemics work

I’m reading about the 1918 “Spanish Flu”

That had a death rate of 2-3% but up to 100 MILLION died because the infection rate was so high

[windermereROYAL]

I reckon it will peak in May/June time when the weather starts to warm up a bit, it`s noticeable that it appears to be accelerating out of control in the northern hemisphere where it`s still winter.
That's not to say it`s stopped in the southern hemisphere but the new cases are nowhere near as bad.

I think it`s inevitable the footy season will be affected one way or another, some of the smaller teams could go to the wall without gate receipts, but I would think it will be the self sufficient PL teams that will be asked to play behind closed doors as the first step.

[Snowball]

I got a text this evening.

Someone I can't name had come to my flat and left a
bottle of red wine, a huge bar of chocolate and a bag
of loo-rolls outside the door.


Just occasionally in life you have to think...

[Zip]

I never mentioned racism. That was someone else.

But since I look after asylum-seeking refugees,
let's say I don't believe in borders

+1

Top post, my man.

+2 Although I been sneezing tonight and feel like a “cold” is coming on. Can you catch this virus over t’internet from Snowball? I feel he has questions to answer. Nobbers could be infected in their droves with OMA last man standing.

[Bonzodog]

Government announcement tomorrow is expected to announce all games in PL and EFL to be played behind closed doors. (From The Times).

[Stranded]

Government announcement tomorrow is expected to announce all games in PL and EFL to be played behind closed doors. (From The Times).

Obligatory, how will we notice the difference post.

[Snowball]

Government announcement tomorrow is expected to announce all games in PL and EFL to be played behind closed doors. (From The Times).

Obligatory, how will we notice the difference post.

It'll be noisier

(obligatory add-on post)

[Snowball]

Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource is quite excellent

updates every few hours

Italy now

12,462 Cases Confirmed
827 Deaths ------------------------------6.64%
10,590 Active (Still Sick) ------------ 85%
1,045 Recovered ------ 8.4%

7,000 new cases worldwide since yesterday

[bcubed]

I never mentioned racism. That was someone else.

But since I look after asylum-seeking refugees,
let's say I don't believe in borders

+1

Top post, my man.

+2 Although I been sneezing tonight and feel like a “cold” is coming on. Can you catch this virus over t’internet from Snowball? I feel he has questions to answer. Nobbers could be infected in their droves with OMA last man standing.

I hope that reference doesn't attract him to this thread! Or you'll have to be held accountable Zip!